Goldman Sachs expects the United States' economy to be impacted by President Donald Trump's tariff policies in the near future, the investment bank's Chief Economist Jan Hatzius said in a letter to clients, as reported by CNBC on Tuesday.
Hatzius claimed that reciprocal tariffs will likely reach an effective rate of 15%, which would lead the Fed's preferred Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index to climb to 3.3% in 2025. However, the PCE inflation is expected to decline to 2.7% next year and to 2.4% in 2027, according to the report.
Additionally, Goldman Sachs' economists project the country's economy to grow at just a 1.1% annual pace in 2025, while the decline in real incomes triggered by tariff-linked price hikes is expected to increase.